Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.207657 0.238549 0.273371 0.315707 0.366022 0.424198 0.496971
2025-10-26 0.161414 0.202166 0.253110 0.322268 0.414930 0.536567 0.711291
2025-11-02 0.133241 0.177381 0.236808 0.324324 0.452794 0.639161 0.938958
2025-11-09 0.113926 0.158979 0.223248 0.324251 0.484015 0.736071 1.183393
2025-11-16 0.099259 0.143927 0.210752 0.321646 0.508608 0.826031 1.441384
2025-11-23 0.087425 0.130924 0.198676 0.316505 0.526575 0.907398 1.707940
2025-11-30 0.080592 0.124472 0.195524 0.324879 0.568649 1.040868 2.120501
2025-12-07 0.072507 0.114828 0.185568 0.319331 0.583440 1.124933 2.457470
2025-12-14 0.066895 0.108531 0.180304 0.321167 0.612487 1.245022 2.924558
2025-12-21 0.061805 0.102482 0.174590 0.321020 0.637167 1.361767 3.432151
2025-12-28 0.058478 0.099127 0.173263 0.329181 0.681232 1.535624 4.178380
2026-01-04 0.055137 0.095351 0.170616 0.334099 0.718959 1.704939 4.998287
2026-01-11 0.052015 0.091724 0.167956 0.338920 0.758589 1.894707 6.006000
2026-01-18 0.049675 0.089348 0.167510 0.348664 0.813162 2.146248 7.408335
2026-01-25 0.046896 0.085817 0.164256 0.351416 0.850389 2.360425 8.823423
2026-02-01 0.044160 0.082090 0.160137 0.351429 0.880316 2.563350 10.354771
2026-02-08 0.041463 0.078181 0.155174 0.348581 0.901620 2.746424 11.954345
2026-02-15 0.038814 0.074128 0.149449 0.342931 0.913520 2.902000 13.561647
2026-02-22 0.037475 0.072706 0.149449 0.352141 0.973534 3.263317 16.737844
2026-03-01 0.035207 0.069090 0.144032 0.346039 0.983350 3.432077 18.911287
2026-03-08 0.033650 0.066889 0.141692 0.348058 1.020938 3.735329 22.421039
2026-03-15 0.032082 0.064531 0.138732 0.347896 1.051293 4.023089 26.250438
2026-03-22 0.031147 0.063514 0.138913 0.356874 1.117067 4.511669 32.628085